I am breaking down Week 6 NFL DFS in this article but first, let’s take a look at last week’s results. Week 5 of the NFL season will go down as one of the most historic of all time. For the first time ever, six players scored over 40 fantasy points in a single week. There were more total fantasy points scored in one week than there ever has been. That made playing Daily Fantasy very difficult this week. Players were scoring over 250 total points and not even placing in GPP’s and cash games. Week 5 was truly one for the record books.
Studs I got right in Week 5:
Chris Godwin: Godwin was on the stud list in week 5 and boy did he live up to the hype. Continuing his march to prove he is the new WR1 in Tampa, Godwin blew up on the Saints for 34.5 fantasy points. The continued usage of Godwin in the slot has been a boom for his fantasy value this season. From 2015-2017, Larry Fitzgerald’s average numbers were 108-1131-7 playing the slot role. Godwin is on pace to finish the year at 105-1635-19.
Leonard Fournette: Making the stud list in week 5, Fournette continued to his reign of terror on Jacksonville opponents. Fournette finished with over 100 yards rushing for the second consecutive week, finishing his day with 26.7 fantasy points. Fournette continues to dominate the snaps in Jacksonville, ranking 2nd in the NFL in usage rate behind Christian McCaffrey.
Studs I got wrong in Week 5:
Greg Olsen: Priced at 4000 last week, I thought Olsen had the potential to be a huge value in week 5. Needless to say, I was way off on this one. Not only was Olsen not a stud, He didn’t catch a pass all game. He actually didn’t even receive one target. No matter what he did, he just couldn’t get open against Jacksonville’s defense. It also didn’t help that Christian McCaffrey continued to go bonkers.
Duds I got right in Week 5:
Philip Rivers: Heading into week 5, I hated the Chargers passing game from a fantasy perspective. The Broncos secondary had been playing great against opposing quarterbacks all season and this trend continued in week 5. Rivers finished with 6.1 points, ending the week as QB27.
Keenan Allen: Continuing my Chargers theme, Allen was in an even worse situation than his quarterback was. Bronco’s pro bowl cornerback Chris Harris stuck to Allen like glue all day. Despite catching 4 of his 6 targets, Allen was only able to produce 18 total yards and 5.8 total points.
Duds I got wrong in Week 5:
Amari Cooper: Going into Week 5, Packer’s cornerback Jaire Alexander had been coming into his own as a shut down corner. Well Amari Cooper brought him back down to earth. Shadowed on 86 percent of his pass routes, Cooper torched Alexander to the tune of 11 catches for 226 yards and a touchdown. Obviously taking offense to being put on the “Dud” list, Cooper scored 42.6 fantasy points and finished as the overall WR3 in week 5.
Josh Jacobs: This is the one that stings me the most. Based on his 4500 price last week, Jacobs seemed like a potential value last week. However, a match up with a Chicago Bears defense that has dominated running backs all season couldn’t have been much worse. Jacobs responded by posting the highest rushing output against Chicago all season, rushing for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns. His 32.3 total points are actually the highest point total the Bears defense has given up since 2017.
Now that I’ve recapped last week, Let’s get into week 6.
Matt Ryan 6400- Through 5 games this season, there are only two quarterbacks in the NFL that have thrown for over 300 yards in every game, Patrick Mahomes and Matt Ryan. Ryan is currently 2nd in the NFL in passing yardage and 3rd in overall completion percentage. Taking all of that into account, he couldn’t be lined up for a better match up in week 6. Facing an Arizona Cardinals defense that ranks 28th in opposing QB points and that’s still without All-Pro Corner Patrick Peterson, Ryan should have a monster day against the Cardinals in our NFL DFS Week 6 lineups.
Gardner Minshew 5000- Minshew mania is running wild in Jacksonville! After taking over for Nick Foles in week 1, Minshew has sparked a new craze among Jacksonville fans and people around the world. With his long hair and 1970’s mustache, Minshew looks more like a used car salesman than an NFL quarterback. But here’s a fun fact for you, there have only been 3 quarterbacks that have scored at least 16 fantasy points in every game this season. They are: Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray, and GARDNER MINSHEW. Priced at 5000 this week and facing a Saints defense that ranks 30th in opposing QB points, adding Minshew to your lineup provides you with the ability to go with higher priced studs at other positions. He may not have the name value of players like Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson, but he definitely has the potential to perform like them in week 6.
Carson Wentz 6100- Coming into week 6, Wentz has failed to pass for over 200 yards in two straight games. Going up against a Minnesota Vikings defense that ranks 7th in opposing QB points, there’s a good chance he could make it three in a row. In 4 out of 5 weeks this season, the Vikings have given up less than 20 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Another thing we must take into consideration is the fact that the Eagles have put more emphasis on running the ball lately. While his price may convince you to put him in your NFL DFS Week 6 lineup, there are better options all over the slate this week.
Le’Veon Bell 6400- The “Le’Veon Bell Jet’s era” hasn’t gotten off to a great start. Through 5 weeks, Bell sits at RB17 according to Draftkings points. Losing Sam Darnold to a Mononucleosis diagnosis hasn’t helped, but Darnold is returning for the week 6 match up against the Cowboys. One thing that has been consistent is Bell’s usage. Bell has played 94.4% of his team’s offensive snaps and is averaging over 24 touches per game. He faces off with a Dallas Cowboys defense that just allowed Aaron Jones to drop 52.2 fantasy points against them. Priced as the 10th running back in week 6, when you combine the amount of volume Bell gets along with his potential upside with Darnold back, Bell could be one of the best values of week 6.
Kerryon Johnson 5400- With their bye week in the rearview mirror, Johnson and the Lions head to Lambeau field for a week 6 match up with the Packers. Despite a dominating win over the Cowboys, the Pack defense continued their season long struggle against fantasy running backs. Through 5 weeks the Packers sit at 30th in opposing RB points. With the release of CJ Anderson prior to week 4, the “Free Kerryon Johnson” movement seems to have begun in Detroit. Against Kansas City, Johnson received a season high 28 touches and finished with 125 yards rushing. Priced as the 24th running back this week on Draftkings, I’m putting Kerryon in my lineup everywhere that I can.
Dalvin Cook 8000- Before I even start, I know what you’re saying. “But Brad, Dalvin Cook is averaging 27 points per game, he’s been a beast all season. How can you put him on your dud list?” Look, we play a DAILY game. If this were season long, you’re obviously starting Dalvin Cook every week. But for Daily purposes, Cook is going up against an Eagles defense that ranks 5th in opposing RB points. Through 5 games, the Eagles haven’t allowed a 100 yard rusher yet. They’ve also been much easier to throw against than run, ranking 21st in opposing QB points and 28th in opposing WR points. Cook is a stud and can put up numbers against anyone, but priced as the 3rd most expensive running back this week, there are better values to choose from.
Todd Gurley 6200- After having his best fantasy performance of the season in week 5, Gurley now does battle against the San Francisco 49ers. While Gurley did finish with 19.7 points in week 5, he only received 15 carries and finished with 51 total yards rushing. 2 rushing touchdowns saved his performance, allowing him to finish as RB12 last week. Even though he plays for one of the best offenses in football, Gurley has turned into an inconsistent touchdown dependent running back. The matchup with the 49ers is not going to make things easy on him. Ranking 1st in opposing RB points, the Niners defense have transformed into one of the scariest in the NFL this season. Though he could score a touchdown and save his fantasy day, the days of Gurley being one of the best running backs in fantasy are long gone. Wednesday, Gurley was added to the injury report with a quad injury. There’s no reason to think he won’t play yet, but consider this even more of a reason to not include him in your lineups.
Julio Jones 8000- After spending the last two weeks as a fantasy disappointment, This is a blow up spot for Julio. In a game that has the second highest over/under of the week (51.5), Arizona will still be without Pro Bowl corner Patrick Peterson. Peterson usually shadows Julio and has given him problems in the past. Atlanta has one of the worst defense’s in the league, allowing a huge opportunity for this game to turn into a shootout. With no other cornerback on the Arizona’s roster even close to his talent level, Julio should have no problem putting up monster numbers in week 6. He may be the highest price wide receiver on the slate, but he will be worth paying up for in our NFL DFS week 6 lineups.
Tyler Boyd 6300- So far this season, Boyd has been somewhat of a fantasy disappointment. That all changed in week 5. Boyd erupted against an inept Arizona defense, dropping a 10 catch, 123 yard, and 1 touchdown performance on them. His 31.3 point performance was his highest of the season so far. In week 6 he will face a Baltimore defense that ranks 23rd in opposing WR points. The Ravens have been especially bad against slot receivers this season, giving up an average of 131 yards per game. The Bengals have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, so the Bengals offense could spend most of the day chasing points. In a game with an over/under of 48, Boyd seems to be the one who could benefit the most.
Courtland Sutton 5000- Sutton has been a true revelation in his year 2 season. Through 5 weeks, Sutton is averaging 17.4 points per game. Who would of thought that Joe Flacco would actually be an upgrade for this team? Despite the supposed breakout, Sutton matches up against a Titans defense that has done very well against wide receivers this season. In fact, Tennessee has allowed just one wideout to finish better than 20th in fantasy points. The breakout is awesome and the price is great, but Sutton just doesn’t have the upside you want in your lineup this week.
Austin Hooper 5000- Alert the media people, we might be in the middle of an Austin Hooper breakout season. After scoring 13.6 points in week 5, Hooper is now averaging 21.7 points per game over the last three weeks. He now faces an Arizona defense that ranks dead last in opposing TE points. Arizona has also given up six touchdowns to tight ends through five games. Priced at 5000 this week, Hooper has the potential to score more points than any other tight end this week. I’m playing him wherever I can.
Gerald Everett 3600- Everett has experienced somewhat of a mini breakout these last two weeks. Over that time period, he ranks second in targets, first in catches, first in receiving yards and first in fantasy points among tight ends. While the 49er’s defense does rank 3rd in opposing TE points, this game has an over/under of 50.5 and is expected to be a shootout. Priced as the 12th tight end this week, Everett has the chance to provide real value for a cheap price.
OJ Howard 3700- The hype coming into the season was that OJ Howard could make the jump this season into the elite tier of tight ends. So far through five weeks, that couldn’t be further from the truth. Howard is only averaging 6 points per game through five weeks. He also ranks 31st at the position in targets, and 36 tight ends have run more routes in the red zone. The match up doesn’t favor him either, as Carolina is 4th in opposing TE points. No matter the price, Howard shouldn’t be anywhere near your NFL DFS week 6 lineups.
Jared Cook 3400- Cook has been one of the bigger disappointments in fantasy this season. Ranked as a top 10 tight end before the season, through the first four weeks, Cook had scored in single digits in all four games this season. That changed last week against Tampa Bay when Cook scored a season high 14.1. However, I advise you to not overreact to one good week. Cook faces Jacksonville in week 6, fresh off limiting Greg Olsen to 0 catches. No matter what he tried, Olsen just couldn’t seem to get open against the Jags defense. If Jacksonville can limit someone like Olsen, who’s been playing very well this season, than Cook should have major problems this week. Keep him far, far away from your NFL DFS Week 6 lineups.
Be sure to check out @sevansdfs article in combination with mine!